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New Estimate of Japan's Population Crash

On 3rd February, the Japan Aging Research Center (JARC) reported that at current trends in fertility the population of Japan will have declined to 88.33 million by 2050.

JARC comprises demographic experts, and their projection is markedly lower that of the National Institute of Population and Social Security research whose estimate for the 2050 population is 100.59 million.

The projection by JARC is based on the fertility rate in Japan continuing to decline from 1.28 in 2004 to 1.16 by 2020.

At this rate, JARC predicts the population of Japan will fall from 126.12 million in July 2005 to:

100.05 million 2040
94.15 million 2045
88.33 million 2050
37 million 2100